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justin
12-06-2004, 09:10 PM
party full 5-10 game. Not many notes on players was playing 8 tables but utg +1 in 50 hands raised only 6 %. utg calls utg+1 raises, fold, fold mp1 calls, i call(qh,kh) button calls blinds fold
flop qd6h4c
utg+1 bets mp1raises, hero 3bets, utg+1 caps, MP1 calls, hero calls
turn 8c
utg+1 bets, mp1 folds, hero folds.
Comments

ErrantNight
12-06-2004, 09:18 PM
my eyes are bleeding.

make your post readable, that's a start.

sthief09
12-06-2004, 09:26 PM
figure given the flop action he's got:
AA- 6 combinations- you have 5 outs
KK- 3 combinations- you have 2 outs
QQ- 1 combination- you have 0 outs
and maybe, but probably not AQ, so we'll discount it to 3 combinations and 3 outs

that gives you (6*5+3*2+1*0+3*3)/13 = 45/13 = ~3.5 outs

preflop 11.4 SB. after the flop there's 23.4 SB, or 11.7 BB. on the turn you're getting 12.7-1. you have 3.5 outs. it's basically a neutral-EV decision. throw in some reverse implied odds and I like the fold.