Is My Winning Rate at Party Sustainable?

[Equal]

Hey guys,

I know there's lots of talk about the amount of hands you need to determine your winning rate, but I'd thought I'd submit my BB/100 rate to see if you guys thought it was sustainable.

I am playing Party 2/4 and am losing money at a rate of -5bb/100 over the last 10k hands.

So is this rate sustainable? Keep in mind I have worked my ass off the last few months achieving this win rate and have read SSHE and TOP 73456 times.

[Ponks]

Check out this post here by Homer:

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Number=1342415&page=2&view=colla psed&sb=5&o=14&fpart=1

Ponks

[CORed]

This rate is definitely sustainable provided you have sufficient income to keep dopositing. Keep at it. Don't quit your day job. We need players like you.

[Equal]

Thank you very much for the reply Ponks!

It turns out I should be able to keep my losing rate between -5.7 and -4.3 BB/100 with a 95% confidence rate!

Everyone please wish me luck!

[Equal]

[ QUOTE ]
This rate is definitely sustainable provided you have sufficient income to keep dopositing. Keep at it. Don't quit your day job. We need players like you.

[/ QUOTE ]

I appreciate the vote of confidence CORed. It's hard sometimes check-raising the river with Jack-high. Sometimes I just don't feel like I can keep it up.

[SomethingClever]

[ QUOTE ]
I am playing Party 2/4 and am losing money at a rate of -5bb/100 over the last 10k hands.


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OMG you noob! I'm beating the Party 2/4 game for a full 0.3 BB/100 over my last 10K /images/graemlins/grin.gif

/sarcasm

[emonrad87]

Your smaple size is clearly insufficent. If, as you state, you are check-raising the river with jack high on a regular basis, your true winrate shoiuld be -7.843 BB/100. Maybe you can try throwing in some check-raises with 10 or even 9 high to get it down there.

/images/graemlins/grin.gif

[Equal]

[ QUOTE ]
Your smaple size is clearly insufficent. If, as you state, you are check-raising the river with jack high on a regular basis, your true winrate shoiuld be -7.843 BB/100. Maybe you can try throwing in some check-raises with 10 or even 9 high to get it down there.

/images/graemlins/grin.gif

[/ QUOTE ]

Check-raising the river with 9-high? Now that's advanced play that I just don't know if I can achieve.

How many hands do I need to absolutely KNOW that I am a true -5bb/100 loser??

One day I hope to get all the way to -7.843bb/100. Unfortunately I just don't think that's an attainable level, even with proper table selection. It's too hard to find tables with a VP$IP under 12%.

[SomethingClever]

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One day I hope to get all the way to -7.843bb/100. Unfortunately I just don't think that's an attainable level,

[/ QUOTE ]

Anyone who claims to have achieved this level is clearly a bot. I'm alerting Party.