Blind level and estimating the # of players eliminated in a round

[A_PLUS]

What do you think would be a good way to estimate how many players will be eliminated from a tourney based on the blinds, average stack, and # of players. I want to use it for a VB program I am writing to give tournament blind structures, but it would also be useful for late MTT strategy.

[gaming_mouse]

Did you mean "eliminated in the next orbit"? Because obviously everyone but 1 is eventually eliminated.

As far as the orbit question, that would be very difficult to solve. It would, first of all, require models for each of the players, because obviously the results will be different for a bunch of tight players than for a bunch of loose ones.

gmh

[fnord_too]

There was an article about something very similar to this on poker pages a while back. Sec, I'll go find it...

Here it is (http://www.pokerpages.com/articles/archives/samuel13.htm)

[uuDevil]

Also see Bozeman's reply at the end of this thread:

Halflife (http://archiveserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Board=probability&Number=503289& Forum=f11&Words=%2Btournament%20%2Bdistribution&Se archpage=0&Limit=25&Main=502810&Search=true&where= bodysub&Name=&daterange=1&newerval=1&newertype=y&o lderval=&oldertype=&bodyprev=#Post503289)

[A_PLUS]

These are great, thanks