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View Full Version : Stats check 5,000 hands


kirisim
11-29-2004, 09:47 AM
game_level $5/$10 (6 max)
total_hands 5030
VP$IP 30.1
VP$ small blind 45.6
Folded SB to steal 79.3
Folded BB to steal 64.8
att_steal 30.9
Win % WSF 35.9
Total $ Won 1263.5
BB/100 2.51
Went to SD % 29.1
Showdown win % 58.8
Preflop Raise % 14.4
Rake 993

I know we are not quite at the point of statistical significance yet, but we are getting there. I should point out: after 2,500 hands, I was winning $2200, at a rate of about 6 BB/100. Since then, I've gone on a $1000 downswing in the next 2,500 hands. I don't know if that's just a short-term fluctuation, or if my bad play is catching up to me. A couple things I am wondering about:

1) Am I folding the blinds too much to steals?
2) My showdown win % is 58%. Everyone says this is way too high and it should be about 52%. But maybe I'm just so good that I'm right more often on the river? (More likely, I'm just being naive, and I'm throwing away too many winners.)

Jeff W
11-29-2004, 09:56 AM
[ QUOTE ]

total_hands 5030...

I know we are not quite at the point of statistical significance yet, but we are getting there.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are nowhere close to a meaningful sample size. Your VPIP and your PFR are the only meaningful stats that you posted.

Re: 1 - Your steal defense % is okay.
Re: 2 - More likely no conclusion may be drawn from this statistic at this time. Additionally, W$SD is a highly style dependent statistic and you shouldn't try to emulate other posters' stats. Focus on playing solid, winning poker instead.