CCx
11-16-2004, 01:50 PM
NBA totals tonite - dont keep track of my record in any sport and dont consider myself a 'pro', but i have been doing this for a lot of years, make a ton of picks each week, and research a lot of games - this site seems to have some intelligent people on it who have posted some good info and analysis, figured i'd add my own
phoenix at dallas under 214 - dallas actually plays defense this year with dampier at center, they also play defense well at home - the totals dont seem to have caught up to this fact yet as they've only gone over twice in 8 games this year - phoenix can score points in bunches with their transition game but to this point they've posted impressive numbers against defensively challenged teams (philly, NJ, sacramento, chicago, cleveland) - last game for dallas @ washington was the first time all season they've let up over 100 points - i look for them to clamp down tonight with steve nash returning to big "D" for the first time since he signed with phoenix
seattle/philly over 199 - two teams that can and will shoot the ball anytime, from anywhere on the court, with any amount of time left on the shot clock - philly can run and shoot with the best of them, and if they get down (as i expect them to), look for korver and company to start gunning! philly also tends to score more, and play a little better at home - in years past when they had a defensive-minded coach this meant you would be in for an 89-85 game, but o'brien has taken off the safety and is letting them shoot at will -- seattle is shooting the lights out with ray allen at 52% and lewis right behind him at about 49%, they can spot up and shoot from anywhere on the floor, and against the sixers look for lewis and fortsen to dominate inside and clean up both sides of the glass for tip-ins and fast breaks
both lines from sportsbook.com
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phoenix at dallas under 214 - dallas actually plays defense this year with dampier at center, they also play defense well at home - the totals dont seem to have caught up to this fact yet as they've only gone over twice in 8 games this year - phoenix can score points in bunches with their transition game but to this point they've posted impressive numbers against defensively challenged teams (philly, NJ, sacramento, chicago, cleveland) - last game for dallas @ washington was the first time all season they've let up over 100 points - i look for them to clamp down tonight with steve nash returning to big "D" for the first time since he signed with phoenix
seattle/philly over 199 - two teams that can and will shoot the ball anytime, from anywhere on the court, with any amount of time left on the shot clock - philly can run and shoot with the best of them, and if they get down (as i expect them to), look for korver and company to start gunning! philly also tends to score more, and play a little better at home - in years past when they had a defensive-minded coach this meant you would be in for an 89-85 game, but o'brien has taken off the safety and is letting them shoot at will -- seattle is shooting the lights out with ray allen at 52% and lewis right behind him at about 49%, they can spot up and shoot from anywhere on the floor, and against the sixers look for lewis and fortsen to dominate inside and clean up both sides of the glass for tip-ins and fast breaks
both lines from sportsbook.com
/images/graemlins/grin.gif