Sanity check #2 [Archive] - Two Plus Two Older Archives

Guy McSucker

11-12-2004, 07:34 AM

Here I go, getting raised again. How would you play this?

Comments on all streets appreciated.

Guy.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed)

Preflop: Sucker MC is Button with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
UTG calls, 1 fold, Sucker MC raises, 2 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: (5.40 SB) A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif (2 players)
UTG bets, Sucker MC raises, UTG calls.

Turn: (4.70 BB) A/images/graemlins/club.gif (2 players)
UTG checks, Sucker MC bets, UTG raises, Sucker MC calls.

River: (8.70 BB) 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif (2 players)
UTG bets, Sucker MC calls.

Final Pot: 10.70 BB
Main Pot: 10.70 BB, between Sucker MC and UTG.

spydog

11-12-2004, 07:40 AM

I'm content calling the turn and calling a river bet. UTG could likely be playing A-rag, but a bluff, A(higher kicker), or full boat seem more likely. I would need to have a read on the villian to 3-bet this turn. If he's bluffing, he'll just fold on the turn if you 3-bet, so you gain nothing. If he's beating you, then he'll cap, losing you 2 extra bets.

Scotch78

11-12-2004, 07:48 AM

What's the villain's PFR%? If it's around 10% or higher, that would lead me to believe he doesn't have AT+. If he's holding A4 or 44, so be it. I call the turn and raise the river. If he 3-bets you then, I'd want to know his VP%IP, too. If he's a TAG, then you can probably take him off AT+, A5, A4, TT, 55, and 44, in which case I would cap the river.

Scott

Guy McSucker

11-12-2004, 08:26 AM

[ QUOTE ]

What's the villain's PFR%?

[/ QUOTE ]

0. Sample size of under 20 hands.

Guy.

Scotch78

11-12-2004, 08:29 AM

Hmm, doesn't help much. I really want to pop the river though. If you had a bigger sample, though, that 0% could easily get me to call down.

Scott