PDA

View Full Version : 44 makes set on 6-high board...

meep_42
11-09-2004, 06:44 PM
Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (7 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
<font color="666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, <font color="666666">3 folds</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (3 SB) 6/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">SB bets</font>, BB calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (3 BB) 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">BB raises</font>, Hero folds, SB calls.

River: (7 BB) 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="CC3333">BB bets</font>, SB calls.

Final Pot: 9 BB

-d
Yads
11-09-2004, 06:56 PM
Not sure about early limping here although it is 7 handed. On the turn you're getting 3:1 pot odds on a 3.4:1 proposition (to pair the board or pick up the last 4). Although there could be a raise behind you. Let's say worst case scenario it's capped on the turn, you're getting 2.75:1 to call with a possiblity of winning at least 2 on the river if you hit your boat I think you should call.
meep_42
11-09-2004, 07:04 PM
I need 3.6:1 to make the call to fill up.

I'm getting at best 7:2 (3.5:1), at worst 11:4 (2.25:1), with the possibility of winning 2-4 more on the river. (BB bet/call with and without SB), so we'll say 3.

21.7% - I win:
12 BB (no reraise on turn)
or 18 BB (capped turn)

78.3% - I lose:
2 BB
or 4 BB

(.217*12)+(.783*-2) &gt; EV &gt; (.217*18)+(.783*-4)
2.604 + -1.217 &gt; EV &gt; 3.906 + -3.217
1.387 &gt; EV &gt; .689

eef. Horrific fold. :\

I figured the pot was tiny and it was more EV neutral.

-d
EvanJC
11-09-2004, 08:11 PM
i dont think folding this preflop is a horrible option, but if you play, i think you have to raise/cap the flop. your hand is very voulnerable. then i guess check/call the turn and check/fold the river. your edge is huge on the flop, so push it then