KenProspero
11-09-2004, 02:20 PM
Hero, Beginner, low stakes game. Am relatively new to 2+2, and just beginning to apply what I'm reading here odds, (so be gentle if I've miscalculated)
Am recreating this hand from memory, but it leads to a general question I have.
Hero(Button) 2200T
SB 5300T
BB 1900T
CO 5600T
Small blind is somewhat of a bully to smaller stacks. BB is pretty tight.
Hero Dealt K /images/graemlins/diamond.gifQ /images/graemlins/diamond.gif
Blinds are 150/300, antes are 50.
CO folds.
Hero Raises 600
SB calls (750)
BB folds.
Pot -2300T
Flop = A /images/graemlins/diamond.gifT /images/graemlins/diamond.gif6 /images/graemlins/heart.gif
Small Blind -- All In.
I wasn't positive what to do.
If SB has an A, I count 11 outs (the 9 diamonds plus J /images/graemlins/heart.gifJ /images/graemlins/club.gif) to a Royal Flush, Nut Flush or Nut Straight. Which at the table I figure gives me a 40-45% chance to win (?).
Since SB is somewhat of a bully, I can't bank on his having an A which either puts me ahead, or gives me 6 more potential outs if he has a pair. Based on gut feel, not much more, I counted discounted it to 3 outs, giving me 14 outs -- or pretty close to a coin flip.
In either case, with the pot odds are bit less that 3:1, so it looks like I have to push.
If I push and lose, I go out in 4th. If I fold, I'm short stack, I still have 1275 chips (which makes me an underdog, but I get through the blinds twice more, so who knows). If I push and win, I'm in excellent position in the game.
Ultimately, I decide that the pot odds are right, and that playing gives me my best shot.
Questions
1. Was the pre-flop raise ok?
2. Is my analysis of my odds on the Flop correct or close?
3. Was the Push decision a good one?
or 4 Did I totally botch this hand from beginning to end?
Am recreating this hand from memory, but it leads to a general question I have.
Hero(Button) 2200T
SB 5300T
BB 1900T
CO 5600T
Small blind is somewhat of a bully to smaller stacks. BB is pretty tight.
Hero Dealt K /images/graemlins/diamond.gifQ /images/graemlins/diamond.gif
Blinds are 150/300, antes are 50.
CO folds.
Hero Raises 600
SB calls (750)
BB folds.
Pot -2300T
Flop = A /images/graemlins/diamond.gifT /images/graemlins/diamond.gif6 /images/graemlins/heart.gif
Small Blind -- All In.
I wasn't positive what to do.
If SB has an A, I count 11 outs (the 9 diamonds plus J /images/graemlins/heart.gifJ /images/graemlins/club.gif) to a Royal Flush, Nut Flush or Nut Straight. Which at the table I figure gives me a 40-45% chance to win (?).
Since SB is somewhat of a bully, I can't bank on his having an A which either puts me ahead, or gives me 6 more potential outs if he has a pair. Based on gut feel, not much more, I counted discounted it to 3 outs, giving me 14 outs -- or pretty close to a coin flip.
In either case, with the pot odds are bit less that 3:1, so it looks like I have to push.
If I push and lose, I go out in 4th. If I fold, I'm short stack, I still have 1275 chips (which makes me an underdog, but I get through the blinds twice more, so who knows). If I push and win, I'm in excellent position in the game.
Ultimately, I decide that the pot odds are right, and that playing gives me my best shot.
Questions
1. Was the pre-flop raise ok?
2. Is my analysis of my odds on the Flop correct or close?
3. Was the Push decision a good one?
or 4 Did I totally botch this hand from beginning to end?