TPTK, paired flop. Bet the river?

[Grisgra]

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
UTG calls, <font color="666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, <font color="666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls.

Flop: (7 SB) 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif, Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, <font color="CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, SB folds, <font color="CC3333">UTG caps</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: (8 BB) 6/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (10 BB) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 10 BB
<font color="green">Main Pot: 10 BB, between UTG and Hero.</font>

[Guido]

Without a read I presume he doesn't have trips so he either has a Q or a flushdraw. That's why I would probably raise the turn again. When he calls I check behind when a spade comes on the river. Except for the turn raise I would probably play the hand the same way. I don't think calling the turn is wrong, but you have a pretty safe fold when he would 3-bet.

Guido

[Scotch78]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think calling the turn is wrong, but you have a pretty safe fold when he would 3-bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

UTG check-raised and capped the flop out of position. If he's willing to play a flush draw or weaker queen this strongly, I think there's a definite possibility he'd 3-bet the turn as well. I'd say that makes a raise EV- compared to a call.

Scott

[Guido]

In my experience they won't 3-bet the turn without a 5.