Official Ohio Local TV Thread

[Bill Murphy]

Sounds like this is where it's gonna be decided(surprise!). They were saying that people in line when the polls closed will be voting at midnight, and also that the urban results come in after the rural ones, unlike most of the country.

Any Ohioans got their local news on, or someone got a Cleveland channel on their satellite dish?

[largeeyes]

OHIO is going/gone red.

[Cubswin]

kerry will pick up another 100k votes in cuyahoga county as only 50% of the votes is in

[Nicholasp27]

kerry is going to win OHIO

52-48 in exit polls

[W00lygimp]

exit polls dont mean [censored], Bush is actually the one who is ahead.

[Cubswin]

Bush will win ohio... id bet the house on it at 4-5 odds.

[Nepa]

[ QUOTE ]
OHIO is going/gone red.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please no cheerleading. Info is good! Cheerleading Sucks!

[Cubswin]

...that being said.... bush will pick up 40k in clermont county... BET THE HOUSE... what do teh futures look like? anyone?

[Nepa]

[ QUOTE ]
kerry will pick up another 100k votes in cuyahoga county as only 50% of the votes is in

[/ QUOTE ]

This is True. Any other big cities not done reporting yet?

[Cubswin]

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/OH/P/00/county.000.html

[Cubswin]

bush will also pick up 20k in fairfield county

[Dynasty]

I calculated this for Cuyahoga in the "official" thread.

Ohio, 64% precincts reporting

Bush (52%) 1,829,807 (+128,708)
Kerry (48%) 1,701,099

Cuyahoga County- 52% of precincts reporting

Kerrry (63%) 224,052; Bush (37%) 130,157 (Kerry +93,895)

Simple Projection of Cuyahoga: Kerry (63%) 431,154; Bush (37%) 253,217 (Kerry +177,937)

Net gain for Kerry in Cuyahoga is +84,042. Things are getting worse based on the simple projection of Cuyahoga.

[Nepa]

[ QUOTE ]
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pages/results/states/OH/P/00/county.000.html

[/ QUOTE ]

I have that page up but I can't figure out what county Columbus is?

[Cubswin]

Things are getting worse based on the simple projection of Cuyahoga.

worse for who? bush is picking up elsewhere... smooth sailing for the GOP from here on out

[Dynasty]

[ QUOTE ]
Things are getting worse based on the simple projection of Cuyahoga.

worse for who? bush is picking up elsewhere... smooth sailing for the GOP from here on out

[/ QUOTE ]

I meant worse for Kerry. I agree that the non-Cuyahoga Ohio should be 50%+ for Bush. So, if Cuyahoga isn't even going to cover the current deficit, Kerry needs something unexpected to happen.

[Nicholasp27]

it doesn't work that way

50% of PRECINCTS in that county haven't reported, not 50% of VOTERS...

the 50% that haven't finished are due to the long lines still there at midnight!...they should have more than 50% of the total votes of that county...many of the 50% that registered in already are the smaller precincts with only a few thousand voters...

[Victor]

Cuyahoga has not been counted yet and neither have other cities. The local news actually said that nearly all of the republican spots have been counted. They did not give specific counties though.

[Dynasty]

Ohio, 74% of precincts reporting

Bush (51%) 2,091,314 (+119,166)
Kerry (49%) 1,972,148

Cuyahoga County- 67% of precincts reporting

Kerry (63%) 282,406; Bush (37%) 163,732 (Kerry +118,674)

Simple Cuyahoga projection: Kerry 421,501; Bush 244,376 (Kerry +177,125)

Net gain for Kerry in remaining Cuyahoga voting of +57,959

Still looking good for Bush. But, 51-49 makes it look tighter.

[Nicholasp27]

it doesn't work that way

u can't project like that, because it's % of PRECINCTS, not VOTES

the smaller precincts report in earlier, so the 50% that reported are prolly only 30% of the VOTES, which are what matter

[Dynasty]

[ QUOTE ]
it doesn't work that way

[/ QUOTE ]

All you are doing is spinning for Kerry. What's the point of that? You're actually still quoting the exit polls in other threads.

[Cubswin]

want to bet a friendly $100? .... ill give you 6-5

[lorinda]

He does specify simple projection.

With the data we have it's the only way to even try to do it. If the projection heads kerry's way it looks good, if it goes against it looks bad.

Im still worried that Clermont county will give Bush enough.

Lori

[Cubswin]

how bout 7-5?

[Nicholasp27]

no, it's the FACTS

u can't just project out that simple

that's like saying AA has the same odds of winning against 2 people as it does against 5 people

[Victor]

Do not forget about Summit county. It is a very big county containing Akron and was just projected (but not counted) at 58-42 in favor of Kerry.

[Dynasty]

Ohio, 79% of precincts reporting

Bush (51%) 2,229,971 (+129,678)
Kerry (48%) 2,100,293
Badnarik (1%) 11,778 /images/graemlins/grin.gif

Cuyahoga County- 76% of precincts reporting

Kerry (65%) 322,798; Bush (35%) 175,288 (Kerry +147,510)

Simple Cuyahog projection: Kerry (65%) 424,734; Bush (35%) 230,642 (Kerry +194,092)

Net projected Kerry gain in remaining Cuyahoga vote: +46,582

Things are looking extremely good for President Bush.

[Cubswin]

final offer... 9-5