JayKon
10-28-2004, 11:35 AM
I want to know how many hands a person plays overall to gage them on a tight/loose scale.
The calculation is simple enough: Hands Played/Hands Dealt * 100 = Percent hands played. (<20% tight, >=20% & <30% semi-loose, etc).
What I don't know is how to calculate the confidence and sample size needed.
If I see David Sklansky dealt 10 hands and he plays 6, I can conclude that he plays 60% of all hands with a confidence level of (roughly) 0%.
On the other hand, if I see him dealt 30,000,000 hands and he plays 4,500,000 of them, I can conclude he plays 15% of all hands with a confidence of roughly (or greater than /images/graemlins/smirk.gif) 100%.
So, how many hands do I need to see David play, in order to have 50% confidence in the % of hands played? 75%? 90%?
What, if anything, happens to the calculation, if I measure more than one thing: like the % of time he raises, given that he has entered the pot.
I know the answer involves the 3,270 possible starting combinations, not the 169 unique starting hands and will probibly need a Z value, but thats all.
Thanks,
Jay
The calculation is simple enough: Hands Played/Hands Dealt * 100 = Percent hands played. (<20% tight, >=20% & <30% semi-loose, etc).
What I don't know is how to calculate the confidence and sample size needed.
If I see David Sklansky dealt 10 hands and he plays 6, I can conclude that he plays 60% of all hands with a confidence level of (roughly) 0%.
On the other hand, if I see him dealt 30,000,000 hands and he plays 4,500,000 of them, I can conclude he plays 15% of all hands with a confidence of roughly (or greater than /images/graemlins/smirk.gif) 100%.
So, how many hands do I need to see David play, in order to have 50% confidence in the % of hands played? 75%? 90%?
What, if anything, happens to the calculation, if I measure more than one thing: like the % of time he raises, given that he has entered the pot.
I know the answer involves the 3,270 possible starting combinations, not the 169 unique starting hands and will probibly need a Z value, but thats all.
Thanks,
Jay