View Full Version : $20 party SNG push or fold?
NotAClue
10-24-2004, 01:58 PM
Sorry if this question (or something similar) has been answered before:
Down to the money, I'm in the SB with about 1800, Button has about the same (but has me covered) and BB has the rest of the chips. 200/400 blinds.
Button raises to 1000, this means he does not have a monster hand, likely two highcards or a medium pocket pair. I have 99, is this a push? Button will not fold if I push.
lorinda
10-24-2004, 02:01 PM
likely two highcards or a medium pocket pair. I have 99
Blinds are huge, you've got third place whatever happens and you've already said that your 99 is only losing to TT, and could have the guy dominated.
I think you're looking for confirmation here of something that went wrong.
Given your read and your scenario, I push here 100%
Lori
NotAClue
10-24-2004, 02:06 PM
Thanks for the advice. I'm not really looking for a confirmation here, I'm 95% sure of the kind of hand he has (he had KT), I was just wondering whether I should wait it out since I have no folding equity here.
lorinda
10-24-2004, 02:15 PM
The simplest view is to look at it as a fight for who is going to be challenging for the heads up spot.
It's a straight fight between you and the other 1800 chip guy.
If you fold here, he takes a big lead on you in a situation where you are either a slight fave (overcards)or a big fave (pair, unless he has Tens).
You have every opportunity here to take him out and get your spot against the chip leader.
Some rough numbers
Call: Win 60%
Fold: He takes a 2400-1600 lead on you, so you are in the 40% range.
Although clearly all approximate (The others MAY clash), I find it helps to think of this as a two player contest where the winner plays the chip leader in the final.
Lori
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