cardspeak
10-17-2004, 01:22 PM
On page 36 and 37 (#3 about betting or raising for value), the following is said: "For instance, you have flopped the nut flush draw against four opponents. You have a 35% chance to make your hand by the river, and therefore, also about 35% pot equity. If all four of your opponents call to see the turn, you will contribute 20% of the money, but your equity is 35%. This represents a "pot equity edge"...The more flop raises, the more money you make."
I will usually bet on the come if I'm getting enough callers equal or better than the odds against me making my draw, but the above seems to suggest that it would be correct to bet/raise a flopped four flush with as few as two callers (my bet would contribute 33% of the money versus a 35% pot equity). I've not figured it this way because the 35% chance also includes the possibility I'll have to call a turn bet while still on the come. Thus, I've generally been requiring four callers, not two.
It also seems that your pot equity drops on the turn if the flush doesn't fill. Thus, you have 35% PE on the flop, but about 20% on the turn, and therefore wouldn't bet/raise the turn without the commensurate (and increased) number of callers. Is this how others interpret this advice? If so, I've not been maximizing my expectation.
Thanks.
I will usually bet on the come if I'm getting enough callers equal or better than the odds against me making my draw, but the above seems to suggest that it would be correct to bet/raise a flopped four flush with as few as two callers (my bet would contribute 33% of the money versus a 35% pot equity). I've not figured it this way because the 35% chance also includes the possibility I'll have to call a turn bet while still on the come. Thus, I've generally been requiring four callers, not two.
It also seems that your pot equity drops on the turn if the flush doesn't fill. Thus, you have 35% PE on the flop, but about 20% on the turn, and therefore wouldn't bet/raise the turn without the commensurate (and increased) number of callers. Is this how others interpret this advice? If so, I've not been maximizing my expectation.
Thanks.