3k Hands at 1/2

[Ajax410]

Is 3160 hands a reasonable sample size? Absolutely not. Then why am I making this post? Basically, through 3k hands, I'm up $47.24 - not that this is anything to cry about - but after making > 4 BB/100 at .5/1, I'm curious if anyone has any insight as to why the sudden dropoff. My stats are essentially the same. Has anyone else had this problem when switching from .5/1? I don't think the extra aggression is affecting me...and I certainly feel I'm playing reasonably well.

I am going to continue to grind it out at 1/2 - the game seems no different to me. I just wanted to know if anyone had some insight or shared experiences.

[raccon]

Play at least 7k more and then take a look at your stats again. Poker is gambling and gambling means variance. So Poker means variance. 3k is absolutely nothing.

[Bukem_]

My stats are close to the same at both levels.

At .5/1 I'm a slightly losing player, though I am 100% convinced that it had more to do with running bad than with playing bad. I was a winning player for 90% of the time at this level, until I started running really bad.

At 1/2 I'm at at 10 bb/100, because i'm playing at least solid, and running well, and receiving some good charity from 1 player in particular.

Just shows how variance can skew results, and you can't really on them with only a few hands.

[DrBob]

This handwaving about how many hands is enough is off the mark. How many hands is enough is very dependent on how big your BB/100 is; the bigger it is, the fewer hands you need to confirm that your being a winning player is statistically significant. Here's a link to a post of mine that tells you how to make an approximate, but quite good, calculation of the uncertainty. You will need Poker Tracker and some MS Access smarts: poker stats calculation (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=&Board=micro&Number=1065807&F orum=All_Forums&Words=&Searchpage=0&Limit=25&Main= 1065603&Search=true&where=bodysub&Name=10479&dater ange=1&newerval=2&newertype=w&olderval=&oldertype= &bodyprev=#Post1065807)

[Mons]

You're less than 4bb/100 after 3k hands??? Jesus, go back down to .5/1 as soon as possible before you go broke.

[Quercus]

As an FYI, I've got you in my database with the following stats:

Hands > 200
VPIP - > 28
PFR - > 13
Postflo aggression < 2

[ QUOTE ]
and I certainly feel I'm playing reasonably well.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would consider posting some hands, both winners and losers to get some feedback on postflop play.