Another bluff baby's baby bluff

[ilya]

Look like a good spot?

***** Hand History for Game 998789766 *****
NL Hold'em $20 Buy-in + $2 Entry Fee Trny:6150564 Level:6 Blinds(150/300) - Tuesday, September 28, 21:32:46 EDT 2004
Table Table 13773 (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 3
Seat 1: petedeboer ( $4820 )
Seat 10: thare ( $2260 )
Seat 2: mrzarembsky ( $920 )
Trny:6150564 Level:6
Blinds(150/300)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to mrzarembsky [ 4d 9s ]
mrzarembsky is all-In.

[durron597]

Let's assume for simplicity's sake that the SB always folds. The BB has to call 620 to win 1220, or is getting 2:1 on the call. If the BB puts you on the top 40% of hands, then he should call with the top 85% of hands. Now remember that the SB folded, too.

I think you get called here basically all the time. I would rather take my chances next hand with a random two cards, with which I go allin unless both of the other two players go allin in front of me.

[ilya]

[ QUOTE ]
I think you get called here basically all the time. I would rather take my chances next hand with a random two cards, with which I go allin unless both of the other two players go allin in front of me.

[/ QUOTE ]

But...won't I be even more likely to be called then? It's not like it's extremely likely that my next hand will be better than my current one.

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
But...won't I be even more likely to be called then?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, however:

[ QUOTE ]
It's not like it's extremely likely that my next hand will be better than my current one.

[/ QUOTE ]

C'mon, you have 94o. 94o is 141/169; you will get a better hand next hand about 7/8 of the time. <font color="pink"> </font>

[betgo]

The BB will probably call you due to pot odds. This is not really a bluff. I would fold 94o, but with an average hand I would push, not primarily as a bluff, but because the blinds are so big you have to fight for them.

[ilya]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
But...won't I be even more likely to be called then?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, however:

[ QUOTE ]
It's not like it's extremely likely that my next hand will be better than my current one.

[/ QUOTE ]

C'mon, you have 94o. 94o is 141/169; you will get a better hand next hand about 7/8 of the time. <font color="pink"> </font>

[/ QUOTE ]

Point taken...

[patrick dicaprio]

you will get called here almost every time.

Pat