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I raise UTG with TT, 2 cold callers and the big blind.
Flop QQJ 2 spades, I have T /images/graemlins/spade.gif, I bet just the button calls. Turn is another Q, I bet and button raises.
Easy laydown?, easier with or without the 3rd queen?
BottlesOf
09-23-2004, 05:44 PM
Harder with the third queen.
I can think of a bunch of opponents whom I wouldn't lay this down against. Against an unknown...smells like a J. Could be in decreasing liklihood: J, case Q, 99/88, Ace high, AA/KK...
Jonny Melon
09-23-2004, 05:50 PM
This one is tricky. Let's say button puts you on AK (all UTG raises are AK, after all).
He is raising with:
--A better PP (AA, KK, or JJ) --unlikely given PF action
--A worse PP --reasonably likely
--A Jack --most likely
--The case Q --somewhat likely
--A stone bluff --unlikely for most players, unless you have a read
If the jack was an undercard to your tens, I'd stay in. With no real reads, I think this is a good laydown, although not necessarily an easy laydown.
Jon
Edit: Left out the case Q!
dejableu
09-23-2004, 06:02 PM
Tough decision. I think it is definitely made more complicated by the third Q. For instance, if it was a K or A instead, then you would know that you were behind a J, Q, or that other overcard. That would be much easier to lay down.
Here, you are only behind a pocket pair like KK or AA, a Q, or a J. I think KK or AA are extremely unlikely given the absence of a preflop 3-bet. The case Q is not impossible, but I'm usually reluctant to put an opponent on quads. So to me the question is: does he have a J or a pocket pair below TT? I think the two possibilities are equally likely, so with over 8 big bets in the pot I probably call down. Of course, if you are wrong and he has a Q or J, you are drawing dead.
beginner
09-23-2004, 06:05 PM
Its probably easier with only two queens, but with 3 your chances dont look that good either.
The only hands that would call this flop are high pocket pairs and strong draws (flush and gutshot). I would be sure that he does not have a higher PP judging by the pre-flop/flop action, and he is not drawing with K /images/graemlins/spade.gif 9 /images/graemlins/spade.gif or 9 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 8 /images/graemlins/spade.gif because he would probably raise the flop and try to buy a free card. He has the J almost every time in this case, so you lay it down.
Sorry if I misimplied what I did here. I actually called down and got shown J5. The 3rd queen made me less confident of the turn lay down and I took the 'safer' option, it still feels like a lay down though.
BottlesOf
09-23-2004, 06:33 PM
I agree Tosh, although I'm always thinking abuot my previous actions at the table. Have I just folded to a turn raise or c/r's? If I look I can be pushed around, I'd be more inclined to call down.
All thungs being equal, I think folding is correct here, and I think calling down is not terrible.
sthief09
09-23-2004, 06:34 PM
I think you're ahead 20+% so I call.
I have also started making some call downs from turn raises that are definitely too loose, I'm looking to separate them. Paying off needlessly bugs me severely.
BottlesOf
09-23-2004, 06:39 PM
Agreed. Well put. Now reply to my Twan thread.
Not sure at all, he would have to be passive preflop and aggr post to free showdown or bluffraise you here. The 3. queen makes it harder.
Maybe check-call down, FD and straightdraw are worthless anyway at this point. Not sure though, interesting hand.
sublime
09-23-2004, 08:14 PM
Tosh-
I call down here. 98%+ of 'typical' poker players will assume you have AK here(ask JoeTall about this one /images/graemlins/laugh.gif) and are raising a PP here.
If the 3rd queen wasnt out I would lean more towards folding (against an unknown)
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