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View Full Version : Push or Fold Here?


parappa
09-22-2004, 02:53 PM
Party 10+1. Blinds 50/100. Hero is on button.

7-handed. Stacks:
1075
720
123
3372
Hero-460
Sb-115
BB-1835

Folded to Hero, who has K /images/graemlins/diamond.gif5 /images/graemlins/club.gif

durron597
09-22-2004, 02:53 PM
I would push.

oscar057
09-22-2004, 03:06 PM
I think a push is correct. You may not get a better chance to steal the blinds.

Gator
09-22-2004, 03:15 PM
Not sure if the SB stack is before or after posting. I look at it this way - SB calls 100% of time, you win half, lose half -- BB calls 20% of time, you win perhaps 40%, lose 60% -- based on that rough estimations
40% overall you have roughly 610 chips (SB calls loses, BB folds)
40% of time you have roughly 300 chips (SB calls wins, BB folds)
8% of time you have roughly 1,070 chips (SB and BB call, you win)
12% of time you are eliminated (BB wins pot)
Chip expected value (based on above assumptions) is virtually the same between folding and pushing
I think finish in the money expected value tips this in favor of a push
Of course SB may call a little less then 100% and the BB may call a little more than 20% and the 50/50 and 60/40 win against small and/or big blind may be off a little - but I think these are reasonable assumptions.

ChrisV
09-22-2004, 09:43 PM
I'd fold. SB is not going to fold so your fold equity is zero. See what else shows up this round.