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View Full Version : Comparing the Old With the New


sthief09
09-15-2004, 04:44 AM
I just think this is an interesting comparison between how I play now and how I've played in the past. I'm still screwing up a lot, and I can't seem to win online, but I'm confident that I'm a better player than I was before (at 2/4, 3/6, and 5/10 full tables). I'm posting this for entertainment purposes only, but I think I have enough hands to prove that I've tightened up and cut down on the aggression a lot:

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Statistic New Old % Chance
Hands 6,421 16,224 (bet you thought this would be higher)
VP$IP 17.38 19.78 -12.13%
PFR 11.87 13.15 -9.73%
W$WSF 35.63 40.25 -11.48%
Won $ At SD 50.00 47.86 4.47%
Att. To Steal 29.79 36.24 -17.80%
Agression (w/o PF) 2.27 2.79 -18.64%
SD 16.3 18.02 -9.54%

</pre><hr />

EDIT: I knew something was wrong. I originally used my new stats as part of my old stats.

Evan
09-15-2004, 04:48 AM
Just out of curiosity, what seperates "old" from "new"? Also, my AF is actually higher than either of yours, I'm shocked.

sthief09
09-15-2004, 04:53 AM
when I started playing again about 3 weeks ago, after realizing that I wasn't very good. now I'm realizing that I don't really know how to play the game, so I'm screwing with my game a little.

Evan
09-15-2004, 05:00 AM
Makes sense. If you're curious:

Hands: 13062
VP$IP: 14.45
PFR: 8.23
W$WSF: 35.82
Won $ At SD: 54.95
Att. To Steal: 19.13
Agression (w/o PF): 2.86
SD (BB/100): 15.9
BB/100: 3.34

sthief09
09-15-2004, 05:09 AM
I changed my 'old' numbers because I originally included the new numbers in it. it shows the difference much more.

it's interesting that your W@SD is much higher than mind and your W$SF is much lower, but your AF is much higher. generally a higher win at showdown rate and lower win when saw flop raise would indicate that you're more passive. if you threw out the aggression factor it would make sense, because you limp less than me.

I really think the relationship between W$SF and W$SD is a good indicator of how aggressive or passive you are, and how well you're running.

Evan
09-15-2004, 05:16 AM
I agree that W$SF and W$SD can tell you a lot about what kind of a player you are. Do you have any idea what "good" #'s for tehse stats are? I have no idea if mine are perfect or awfull.

sthief09
09-15-2004, 05:21 AM
I don't think there's such thing as good or awful for them. just from looking at all the PT posts, it seems like 50/36 is average, while 48/39 seems to be aggro, and a product of raising a lot preflop and bulling your way through. I think if your W$SF is under 35, it probably means you're running badly.

I think GoT mentioned one time that he likes his W@SD to be in the high 50s, and I really buy into a lot of his philosophies, so it's something worth looking into.

Evan
09-15-2004, 05:25 AM
It's kind of a hard stat to have a target for though, isn't it? It's a product of so many different factors, it seems like it's almost impossible to "aim" for a certain range as opposed to something like VPIP which is relatively easy to adjust.

sthief09
09-15-2004, 05:27 AM
yeah each stat by itself is close to worthless, and even when used together it gives you nothing more than a rough idea of whether you're passive or aggerssive IMO

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=&amp;Number=652103&amp;page=&amp;view=&amp;sb =5&amp;o=

decent thread, and GoT says W@SD should be 65%

Evan
09-15-2004, 05:33 AM
Thanks for the link, that is a cool thread. I don't see how 65% is even possible. Astro said he was just a hair over 50.

Alobar
09-15-2004, 05:33 AM
[ QUOTE ]


decent thread, and GoT says W@SD should be 65%

[/ QUOTE ]

65%!??! That sounds waaay to high. All I've ever heard anyone say on here is mid 50s is good.

also, my W$SF is less than 35%, and im doing quite well over my last 25K hands, so i dont think that alone is a good indicator of how you are running

sthief09
09-15-2004, 05:45 AM
that's what I like about GoT. he has different opinions than everyone else. I feel like most of us are just trained to regugitate (sp?) the gospel of Ed and Clarkmeister, while he actually thinks for himself.

Nate tha' Great
09-15-2004, 05:50 AM
In theory you should be playing more aggressively postflop if you are playing more selectively preflop.

In the long run, I think you'd like to see *either* your W%WSF or your W%SD be a little higher; it is too early to tell right now since both of those stats can be pretty streaky and your sample size is ... INSUFFICIENT. Players like astroglide and I tend to have somewhat lower W$SD but we'll win quite a lot of hands; GoT has a different style of play and takes the lion's share of his showdowns but probably misses some opportunities to take a pot now and then. Both approaches can be effective; my guess is that the astro/Nate style is somewhat better suited to your strengths as a player but I don't know.

Evan
09-15-2004, 05:52 AM
[ QUOTE ]
regugitate (sp?)

[/ QUOTE ]
I think there's an "r" in there somewhere. I agree that we (by we I mean I) don't always put in the critical thinking that some topics require when the answers appear to be handed to us. I haven't read that many of GOT's posts, but I'd like to. Do you have any other links to particularly good threads?

sthief09
09-15-2004, 05:58 AM
not offhand, but when I first started posting here, I went through a few prominent posters (I think Tosh, Joe Tall, Nate tha Great, and maybe a couple more) that registered in 2003 to see how they progressed. I basically became a GoT stalker for a while because he moved up so fast to 5/10, then through the IRC (I think that was the arconym) he got up to 15/30 in a hurry, and basically never looked back. there's also some interesting Miller vs. GoT stuff somewhere.

Evan
09-15-2004, 05:59 AM
waht's IRC?

sthief09
09-15-2004, 06:09 AM
it's OIC, not IRC like I said first... I'll look in the archives but I need sleep. I'll PM you tomorrow if I can't find it tonight

Evan
09-15-2004, 06:14 AM
Thanks, good nite.

sthief09
09-15-2004, 06:28 AM
http://archiveserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&amp;Board=inet&amp;Number=392370&amp;Forum=, All_Forums,&amp;Words=OIC&amp;Searchpage=1&amp;Limit=25&amp;Main=3 92336&amp;Search=true&amp;where=bodysub&amp;Name=2926&amp;daterang e=1&amp;newerval=1&amp;newertype=y&amp;olderval=&amp;oldertype=&amp;bo dyprev=#Post392370

Evan
09-15-2004, 06:30 AM
Awesome. Thanks a lot.

PraetorianAZ
09-15-2004, 09:05 AM
My long term averages (50000+ hands at 2/4):

W$WSF 26%
W$SD 53% (fold to river bet 37%)

That's with VP$IP of 15%, raising 8% and aggr of 1.44.

What are you doing to win over 30% of your flops? Betting/raising every scare card?

Evan
09-15-2004, 09:25 AM
Not every card, but both Josh and myself do quiet a bit over betting/raising (see out aggression factors).

Monty Cantsin
09-15-2004, 09:34 AM
Here's another great GoT thread: No More Crying Calls (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&amp;Number=560235&amp;page=&amp;view=&amp;sb=5&amp;o =&amp;fpart=1&amp;vc=1).

This thread helps to explain why his W$SD is so high.

/mc

Talex
09-15-2004, 11:08 AM
That thread is a must read, thanks for pointing us to it Monty.

-Tim

MaxPower
09-15-2004, 11:14 AM
I think this post is just a ruse to lure out SAMPLE SIZE MAN.

SomethingClever
09-15-2004, 11:18 AM
[ QUOTE ]
I think if your W$SF is under 35, it probably means you're running badly.


[/ QUOTE ]

Agh! Am I doing something seriously wrong?

W$SF

.5/1: 26.28
1/2: 26.49
2/4: 29.16

My winrate seems fine at every level... except for 2/4! What gives?

MAxx
09-15-2004, 11:41 AM
65%, wuh?

that sounds crazy high. that cant be right.

how did zeejusin and get that screenprint of his pt into the thread?

joker122
09-15-2004, 12:08 PM
There's this cycle I have. I think I'm good, and then about a month later I look back and realize I was terrible. Repeat.

Evan
09-15-2004, 12:24 PM
If you want to put an image into a post, put it on a webpage and then put the link in the box that pops up when you click "image"

JinX11
09-15-2004, 12:56 PM
In no month have I ever had a W$SF &gt;= 35%. Consistently around 33%, even in my best months.

Boy, that would be fantastic if I have been running bad.

Evan
09-15-2004, 01:01 PM
I wouldn't take everything in this thread as gospel (or even necessarily logical). These are just some ideas about relationships between different stats and what they can tell you about your playing style. Also, higher stats are not necessarily better. Josh's "new" W$SD is about 10% lower than mine, but he is definitely a much better player than me.

sthief09
09-15-2004, 01:04 PM
those 2 stats are really unimportant

MAxx
09-15-2004, 01:08 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Hands 6,421 16,224 (bet you thought this would be higher)

[/ QUOTE ]

If you only spent as much time playing as your did posting... /images/graemlins/blush.gif.

sthief09
09-15-2004, 01:23 PM
I don't like playing online, although I do have 20 or 30k other hands in my DB.

MAxx
09-15-2004, 01:29 PM
i actually suspected your online handcount would be in around that ball park, based on info from prior posts. I just saw an opportunity to take a jab at you.

EDIT: and I don't have but maybe 25 to 30k hands in my PT... so this was purely giving you a hard time.