PuckNPoker
09-13-2004, 03:00 PM
Blinds are getting huge in a small tourney so it will be over in the next 10 hands or so.
5 players left, everyone is in the money.
Total chips in play are ~120k
Stacks from SB forward:
SB = 35k
BB = 18k
UTG (Me) = 17k
CO = ~25k
Button = ~25k
SB/BB are 2k/4k, Antes 800 so a pot has 10k in it before the betting starts.
Next hand blinds go up to 4k/8k with 1600 ante so I figure any paint or pair I push in.
I look down and see QJo (the worst of the best high card wise). Push in or fold? Or risk looking at what the next 2 hands offer you?
I pushed in, but I am sitting here wondering the following:
1) I am pretty much guaranteed to be called somewhere along the line with that much in the pot, any K or A prolly calls me. Is this really a smart move?
2) Someone could go bust and improve my position moniteraly.
3) The unknown next 2 hands. Nothing I can do about this but I would rather have a A or K in the situation or any pp, but odds are against that in picking random 2 hands.
In the end here is what happened. I push all-in UTG and get called by the Button and the BB. Button has AQo, BB has Kh9h (from two dimes my chances of winning this hand):
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=511490
pokenum -h kh 9h - as qd - qh jc
Holdem Hi: 1370754 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Kh 9h 469821 34.27 896264 65.38 4669 0.34 0.344
As Qd 619405 45.19 735104 53.63 16245 1.19 0.457
Jc Qh 265283 19.35 1089226 79.46 16245 1.19 0.199
Flop K-9-x
turn 8
river 9
Would you do anything different?
5 players left, everyone is in the money.
Total chips in play are ~120k
Stacks from SB forward:
SB = 35k
BB = 18k
UTG (Me) = 17k
CO = ~25k
Button = ~25k
SB/BB are 2k/4k, Antes 800 so a pot has 10k in it before the betting starts.
Next hand blinds go up to 4k/8k with 1600 ante so I figure any paint or pair I push in.
I look down and see QJo (the worst of the best high card wise). Push in or fold? Or risk looking at what the next 2 hands offer you?
I pushed in, but I am sitting here wondering the following:
1) I am pretty much guaranteed to be called somewhere along the line with that much in the pot, any K or A prolly calls me. Is this really a smart move?
2) Someone could go bust and improve my position moniteraly.
3) The unknown next 2 hands. Nothing I can do about this but I would rather have a A or K in the situation or any pp, but odds are against that in picking random 2 hands.
In the end here is what happened. I push all-in UTG and get called by the Button and the BB. Button has AQo, BB has Kh9h (from two dimes my chances of winning this hand):
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=511490
pokenum -h kh 9h - as qd - qh jc
Holdem Hi: 1370754 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Kh 9h 469821 34.27 896264 65.38 4669 0.34 0.344
As Qd 619405 45.19 735104 53.63 16245 1.19 0.457
Jc Qh 265283 19.35 1089226 79.46 16245 1.19 0.199
Flop K-9-x
turn 8
river 9
Would you do anything different?