Bottom set vs. lots of aggression

[Jimbobobb]

My first orbit, haven't seen MP2 play a hand yet.


Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 2/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
Hero calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, <font color="CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, CO folds, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, Hero calls, MP1 calls.

Flop: (12 SB) 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="blue">(6 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, MP1 checks, <font color="CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="CC3333">MP2 3-bets</font>, Button calls, SB folds, BB calls, <font color="CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP1 folds, MP2 calls, Button calls, BB calls.

Turn: (15.50 BB) 5/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, Button calls, BB folds, <font color="CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP2 caps</font>, Button calls, Hero calls.

River: (27.50 BB) 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="blue">(3 players)</font>
<font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, Button folds, Hero calls.

Who 3-bets here? At this point I'm almost positive he has JJ. But lots of people refuse to believe their overpairs are beat, and will cap KK/AA all day long. Without knowing which my opponent is, I don't think I can 3-bet this with confidence.


Final Pot: 31.50 BB

[topspin]

Against anyone but a maniac, given the PFR and all the capping JJ is the only reasonable hand; most players would slow down with just one pair (even if it is an overpair), and no 2-pair flop hand would raise PF. I definitely don't 3-bet the river, and might consider check-calling instead of betting out after the turn is capped again.

[detruncate]

I don't 3-bet. In fact I thought hard about whether I'd lead, but we're really only worried about JJ, and some people are fond of overplaying an overpair on a board like this (like me, for instance), so I think we need to bet call a raise. Nice hand.