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Battlefoe
08-27-2004, 01:08 PM
anyone know what the probablility oh hitting runner runner on the turn and river to make the winning hand.

say I have A-K....u have 6-7 clubs......the flop is

Qc-Jc-10h........i have a straight...u have a flush draw.

turn is 2c, river is 3c.....what is the probability of that happening in terms of percentages?

mostsmooth
08-27-2004, 01:37 PM
[ QUOTE ]
anyone know what the probablility oh hitting runner runner on the turn and river to make the winning hand.

say I have A-K....u have 6-7 clubs......the flop is

Qc-Jc-10h........i have a straight...u have a flush draw.

turn is 2c, river is 3c.....what is the probability of that happening in terms of percentages?

[/ QUOTE ]
you want 6 clubs or 5?

stinkypete
08-27-2004, 02:07 PM
if you have 3 cards to a flush, the probability of hitting runner runner in this case is:

9/47 * 8/46

or, if you know your opponent doesn't have any clubs:

9/45 * 8/44

Bulldog
08-27-2004, 03:59 PM
[ QUOTE ]
anyone know what the probablility oh hitting runner runner on the turn and river to make the winning hand.

say I have A-K....u have 6-7 clubs......the flop is

Qc-Jc-10h........i have a straight...u have a flush draw.

turn is 2c, river is 3c.....what is the probability of that happening in terms of percentages?

[/ QUOTE ]

I believe the odds in making a flush when flopping a three-flush are 23:1. So if that is the case (which is different than your example), you are going to win about 95% of the time, if there are no other outs.

In your example, assuming your ace and king are both non-clubs, your opponent has a 1.8:1 chance of making his flush, and a longshot of splitting if the turn and river are an ace and a king, both non-clubs. You are about 63% to win.

http://twodimes.net/poker/

DcifrThs
08-29-2004, 03:55 AM
[ QUOTE ]
anyone know what the probablility oh hitting runner runner on the turn and river to make the winning hand.

say I have A-K....u have 6-7 clubs......the flop is

Qc-Jc-10h........i have a straight...u have a flush draw.

turn is 2c, river is 3c.....what is the probability of that happening in terms of percentages?

[/ QUOTE ]

board= QcJdTh you have AK no clubs. I have 7c6c.
there are 10 clubs left. i need to catch one of those 10 cards on the turn AND THEN 1 of the 9 remaining clubs on the river.

so its (10/45)*(9/44)=.045 or 21.2222222:1 against

-Barron

Gator
09-01-2004, 01:31 PM
A useful way to think of this is to count runner runner as one additional out. Example, you have As Kd - you put your opponent on pocket tens. Flop comes 3s 8H Qc. You have 3 aces and 3 kings as outs - the runner runner spade (for ace high flush) can be counted as a 7th out.