Typical Streakiness?

[w_raedy99]

I don't want to turn this into a bad beat post, and please feel free give any critcisms if you feel it is.

Basically I am asking if the streakiness I am running into is pretty much part for the course or if it seems to be extreme.

Another thing I wanted to point out is how often 4 of a kind hits on party poker since they had the bad beat jackpot. What are the odds of seeing 4 four of a kind's in 5 days? I have actually seen it much more often than that sometimes, like 5 times in 2 days. Seems almost impossible to me.

Really appreciate any suggestions/notes/critiques.

Will

<ul type="square"> Tourney Date Day Time Finish Duration Notes
1 14-Aug Sa 2:06 PM 7 42 Had a horrible beat, had flush on flop, person drew full house on river
2 14-Aug Sa 10:31 PM 6 35 Lost with QQ in the end to A2
3 14-Aug Sa 11:09 PM 1 47 Won with 77 against A6, got four 7's. Played much more aggrssively
4 15-Aug Sa 12:27 AM 6 28 Should've raised all-in with QQ, got beat by a flush draw on the turn
5 15-Aug Sa 12:56 AM 8 28 No good hands, lost AT to AK
6 15-Aug Sa 1:27 AM 1 45 Played well, was loose at the end to a degree but made sure to balance
7 15-Aug Sa 2:15 AM 2 31 Played well, got a bunch of really good hands
8 15-Aug Sa 7:47 PM 1 50 Got 5555. Played very aggressively and well towards the end
9 15-Aug Sa 9:18 PM 7 47 Got blinded down, never really got any hands
10 15-Aug Sa 11:00 PM 1 64 Played well, waited to be patient but was very aggressive at the end
11 16-Aug Mo 7:38 PM 3 44 Played fairly conservatively. Big stack was stealing like crazy.
12 16-Aug Mo 9:14 PM 4 38 Lost with AQ's to AA. Two ppl had gone all-in, should've folded
13 16-Aug Mo 9:53 PM 1 45 Played well and slow in the beginning, got lucky a couple times
14 17-Aug Tu 9:23 PM 7 24 Made a bad 100 call with a flush on the board. Lost with AQ to KQs.
15 17-Aug Tu 9:49 PM 3 50 Guy announced all his hands at the end, knew he had ace but called
16 17-Aug Tu 10:41 PM 3 49 Got 8888. Lost with 77 to AT's and got the flush
17 17-Aug Tu 11:33 PM 5 41 Didn't get any good hands and got way low early, lost with 99
18 17-Aug Tu 12:16 PM 6 44 Lost with AT to AJ and then AQ to AK
19 18-Aug We 6:27 PM 3 30 Got KKKK and won like 2400 on it. Had AJ lose to AA
20 18-Aug We 7:00 PM 7 21 Bet 150 on 30 blinds with KK guy called, went all-in, got a flush.
21 18-Aug We 7:25 PM 3 30 Basically did nothing and everyone else got knocked out by themselves.
22 18-Aug We 9:27 PM 10 2 Lost with 2 pair to a higher two pair, tried to get away with slow playin
23 18-Aug We 9:27 PM 6 47 Had A9 went all in against J8, guy caught two pair to my AA
24 18-Aug We 10:16 PM 2 49 Saw QQQQ. Had a big comeback, lost with AT to Q8 at the end
25 19-Aug Th 6:37 PM 3 31
26 19-Aug Th 8:37 PM 7 26 Just really never got anything
27 19-Aug Th 9:04 PM 5 42 Made a great comeback KK being beat but played 99 very badly to lose
28 19-Aug Th 9:54 PM 4 33 Played 33 wrong and it cost me.
29 19-Aug Th 10:28 PM 3 47 Played named maggie(irishgod on ps) did all the work
30 19-Aug Th 11:13 PM 5 28 Had KK lose to 99, had a good chip stack b4
31 19-Aug Th 11:13 PM 5 58 Had AQ lose to 66, hit the A but he hit the set
[/list]

[Lori]

What are the odds of seeing 4 four of a kind's in 5 days?

I recently went out vs one royal, two straight flushes and some (I think two) four of a kinds in under 24 hours.

It's natural I'm afraid /images/graemlins/frown.gif

Lori

[Phill S]

i saw two quads in a row a couple of weeks back.

if it can happen, eventually it will. and if you play enough games youll see it.

Phill

[jaydoggie]

im happy to tell you, these are natural streaks. you will also ride very fast GOOD streaks. however i came on now to post a similiar question, only mine isnt over such a small sample.

for the past two weeks ive had no luck at all, and its not the internet is rigged because its also live, and on different sites. ive taken a few days off, came back and nothing seems to be changing.

to spare the beats i know we've all been through; long losing streaks with Aces, losing to dominated hands, and the random being called allin by some rag hand that really shouldnt have even limped initially, i want to ask how long can i expect the most tremendous bad luck streaks to last.

in the winter last year i played several sit&amp;gos and tracked my results. after 300 tournaments i had a proven 42% ROI. i have not made any major adjustments to my play since then, but my new BR has been decimated and i guess i just need advice.

does anyone believe its just a bad streak that will shut off, is it bad "karma"? do i need a much longer break? is it a personal confidence im beginning to lack after so many suckouts? just want to hear from everyone, as im ready to begin winning ASAP /images/graemlins/laugh.gif

[Dooner]

All bad streaks will come to an end. That is if you are a decent player who knows the game. In other words, if you don't blow all your dough on long shots and gut feelings, the streak will end and when it does it will feel oh so good.

I just went through a bad streak myself. I hate the losing streaks as much as the next person, and when you are in the middle of one, it can feel down right horrible when you are getting pummeled left and right. The thing you have to remember is that poker is a game for the long haul. Use the bad streaks to critique and analyze your game. Make those tiny adjustments that we all need to make from time to time and eventually the cards will start falling in your direction again. As frustrating as the bad streaks can be, just remember that they are the pause between the winning ones. Hope this helped.

/images/graemlins/cool.gif

[jaydoggie]

thanks for the encouragement, ive been through them as well guess i just needed to be told everything will be alright /images/graemlins/smile.gif

[woodguy]

I like the idea of analyzing your HH's.

During my last *dry* streak, I found I started playing weak/tight( i.e. death in NL)

I think the bad beats made me gun shy and I started limping with good hands and limping with dodgy ones too.

When I realized this and went back to good aggressive play, things went back to normal (as normal as on-line NLHE gets I guess /images/graemlins/smile.gif)

I then put a post-it note on my computer that says "AGGRO OR NO-GO", which helped get me get back to playing a good aggressive game.

Keep at it.

regards,
woodguy