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View Full Version : Puzzeled by my sng stats


Zelcious
08-05-2004, 12:31 PM
I'm a bit puzzeled by my 40 recent sng stats.
Here are the my finnishes:

1 9 7 1 3 3 1 2 5 5
9 1 1 1 10 1 2 3 7 5
5 4 5 5 7 5 4 5 5 6
5 3 8 2 3 1 1 5 6 5

9 first
3 second
5 third

+200$

ROI 50%
ITM 42.5%

What I find really strange is that I have 13 straight games without ITM in the middle. Isn't that extraordinary high ?

PrayingMantis
08-05-2004, 12:46 PM
[ QUOTE ]
What I find really strange is that I have 13 straight games without ITM in the middle. Isn't that extraordinary high ?


[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, it is "high" (i.e, if your *long-term* ITM is 50%, then it's like getting "heads" 13 coin flips in a row), but it doesn't mean anything. Generally, streaky results in such a small sample (40 games) are very common. Your ROI and ITM can have some huge fluctuations during such a short term.