allenciox
08-03-2004, 01:26 PM
I have now played in 506 SNG tourneys at the $200 vs. $100 level... I go back and forth between them. Here are my results:
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Pos $100 $200
1 54 42
2 25 22
3 39 19
4 17 19
5 25 30
6 34 28
7 29 15
8 25 20
9 19 19
10 6 19
Total 273 233
</pre><hr />
For $100 tourneys, my ROI is 42.2% +- 21.1% (this means that over these 273 tourneys it was 42.2%, but my REAL ROI has a 95% chance of being between 21.1% and 63.3%).
For $200 tourneys, my ROI is 25.4% +- 22.3%. In both cases, I am statistically a winner.
My differences between the two is not statistically different if I just look at placing 1-3 or not placing, but IS statistically different if I include all places 1-10. Much of this significant difference is due to the frequency of placing tenth --- I rarely place tenth in the $100 SNGs, although I frequently do in the $200s. I believe the reason for this is that I have played a good many $200 tourneys where nobody busts out until the fourth level... but this rarely happens in the $100 tourneys. I think this is due to people not treating top pair, good kicker as the nuts at the $200 level --- they are much more cautious with it.
Note that in both the $100 and $200 tourneys, I get a huge number of firsts --- almost 20% of the total tourneys I enter, but I also get a lot of fifth and sixth place finishes. This is due to my aggressive style once the table gets down to five or six players.
I would be interested in comparing to others... is this consistent with your results at the two levels?
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Pos $100 $200
1 54 42
2 25 22
3 39 19
4 17 19
5 25 30
6 34 28
7 29 15
8 25 20
9 19 19
10 6 19
Total 273 233
</pre><hr />
For $100 tourneys, my ROI is 42.2% +- 21.1% (this means that over these 273 tourneys it was 42.2%, but my REAL ROI has a 95% chance of being between 21.1% and 63.3%).
For $200 tourneys, my ROI is 25.4% +- 22.3%. In both cases, I am statistically a winner.
My differences between the two is not statistically different if I just look at placing 1-3 or not placing, but IS statistically different if I include all places 1-10. Much of this significant difference is due to the frequency of placing tenth --- I rarely place tenth in the $100 SNGs, although I frequently do in the $200s. I believe the reason for this is that I have played a good many $200 tourneys where nobody busts out until the fourth level... but this rarely happens in the $100 tourneys. I think this is due to people not treating top pair, good kicker as the nuts at the $200 level --- they are much more cautious with it.
Note that in both the $100 and $200 tourneys, I get a huge number of firsts --- almost 20% of the total tourneys I enter, but I also get a lot of fifth and sixth place finishes. This is due to my aggressive style once the table gets down to five or six players.
I would be interested in comparing to others... is this consistent with your results at the two levels?