icecreamwillie
07-31-2004, 04:18 PM
My local card room just started a $100 buy in NL game. Blinds are 2(button), 2, 3. Anout 60% of pots are being raised $10 to $20 pre-flop. I don't know much about NL, but neither do my opponents.
Pre-flop raise from middle position of $20. This player is steaming from some perceived bad beats, but has generally been showing decent cards when he raises. He has about $200. I'm in small blind with Ad7d (about $300). My table image is very tight. I call (bad call?) and big blind (solid player) calls. 3 handed pre-flop.
Flop is A,8,4 two diamonds. A good flop, but if better has Ace with good kicker then I still just have a draw. If my Ace is good a bet will just move him off the hand. He will surely bet if checked to. I check. BB checks, MP bets 20, I call, BB calls.
Turn is another 4. I check, BB checks, MP bets $190 all in. If he had AA for nut full house, he might make this overbet, remember neither us knows much about NL, but I think it more likely he would make a more moderate bet. Maybe a 10% chance. If he has Ace better kicker, I have 3 outs to a full house win, 2 outs to a full house tie and 9 outs to a flush. I think this is his most likely hand, maybe 60%. He could also be overbetting Kings, Queens or maybe Jacks.
I didn't give consideration to the possibility BB had a 4. I should have, but I just didn't think of it.
I made a crying call after much thought. I'd like to say I sensed weakness in his bet, but that's a rationalization. BB folded, he claims he had a suited K of diamonds, but knew I had nut flush draw after so much thought. It's possible.
I won the hand, MP was overbetting Queens, but I can't help thinking I made a bad call on the turn. If MP had the most likely hand (Ace better kicker) I didn't have the pot odds to make the call. If BB had re-raised to put me all in I would have been drawing even slimmer.
Please comment.
Pre-flop raise from middle position of $20. This player is steaming from some perceived bad beats, but has generally been showing decent cards when he raises. He has about $200. I'm in small blind with Ad7d (about $300). My table image is very tight. I call (bad call?) and big blind (solid player) calls. 3 handed pre-flop.
Flop is A,8,4 two diamonds. A good flop, but if better has Ace with good kicker then I still just have a draw. If my Ace is good a bet will just move him off the hand. He will surely bet if checked to. I check. BB checks, MP bets 20, I call, BB calls.
Turn is another 4. I check, BB checks, MP bets $190 all in. If he had AA for nut full house, he might make this overbet, remember neither us knows much about NL, but I think it more likely he would make a more moderate bet. Maybe a 10% chance. If he has Ace better kicker, I have 3 outs to a full house win, 2 outs to a full house tie and 9 outs to a flush. I think this is his most likely hand, maybe 60%. He could also be overbetting Kings, Queens or maybe Jacks.
I didn't give consideration to the possibility BB had a 4. I should have, but I just didn't think of it.
I made a crying call after much thought. I'd like to say I sensed weakness in his bet, but that's a rationalization. BB folded, he claims he had a suited K of diamonds, but knew I had nut flush draw after so much thought. It's possible.
I won the hand, MP was overbetting Queens, but I can't help thinking I made a bad call on the turn. If MP had the most likely hand (Ace better kicker) I didn't have the pot odds to make the call. If BB had re-raised to put me all in I would have been drawing even slimmer.
Please comment.